The Guardian

The Guardian 9 Apr 2020

Why coronavirus mortality rates are so different


How can we understand the risk of death from Covid-19 when there are so many numbers flying around? Well, there are actually three different types of fatality rate: Case Fatality Rate (CFR), Infection Fatality Rate (IFR), and Crude Mortality Rate (CMR). They are calculated in different ways and tell you different things. When we know what each means and how they work, we learn more about how new infections like the coronavirus affect us.

Why are some fully-recovered COVID-19 patients getting the virus again?

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While the nation's leading health experts say the coronavirus fight is far from over, President Trump has a more optimistic assessment. NBC News' Jane Timm fact checks the president's claim that the U.S. has one of the lowest coronavirus death rates in the world.
Not all OPEC nations are rich and can weather a storm like the coronavirus pandemic with oil prices also sliding into negative territory, however briefly.

OPEC cartel leader Saudi Arabia is cutting subsidies and raising taxes but it also has massive foreign currency reserves that can see it through the crisis.

But that is not the case for the likes of Oman and Bahrain, which have slashed budgets, though they could get help from Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates.

Our focus is those resource-rich nations that have had to turn to the International Monetary Fund and those that have not, as oil prices hover just north of $30 a barrel.

Algeria - The North African nation has seen its debt soar to 45 percent of GDP from just 26 percent in 2017. It had based this year's austerity budget on oil prices of $50 a barrel.

Angola - In 2018, Africa's second-biggest oil producer received a $3.7bn loan from the IMF and could be banging on its doors again. It relies on the sale of crude for 65 percent of its tax revenue.

Ecuador - Creditors have given the country a debt payment holiday. But it could still default on its $17bn debt. It also received an IMF loan of more than $600m.

And then there is Africa's biggest oil producer, Nigeria, which last month received approval for a $3.4bn emergency IMF loan. The country is dependent on oil for 90 percent of its export earnings. With crude prices cratering, it has little room to service debt.

Kola Karim, chief executive of the Shoreline Group, which has holdings in a number of Nigerian oil ventures, shares his thoughts with Al Jazeera.

Lithium vs Oil

This is the stuff of science fiction.

Wuhan University has developed a plasma thruster, a type of propulsion engine, that could potentially power the planes of tomorrow, and bring emissions-free flying a step closer.

The pandemic has reduced global consumption of oil by about a third - with grounded jet airlines guzzling at least 5 million barrels of oil daily.

The coronavirus may just be the push green energy needs. It should come as no surprise that decline in fossil fuel usage has led to a fall of 8 percent in global carbon dioxide emissions, according to the International Energy Agency.

Andy Leyland, head of strategic advisory at Benchmark Minerals, discusses whether lithium, the stuff that powers much of our electric cars, can emerge as a winner from this crisis.

Saudi Arabia's 'sports washing'

Newcastle United could be in the hands of new owners very soon.

But the buyer comes with a lot of baggage. Saudi Arabia's Public Investment Fund will own 80 percent of the English Premier League club.

Saudi Arabia's human rights record, the killing of journalist Jamal Khassoggi and the country's alleged theft of Middle Eastern Premier League rights could derail the $375m deal.

Amnesty has accused Crown Prince Mohammed Bin Salman of using the glamour and prestige of the Premier League to cover up actions that are deeply immoral.

Simon Chadwick, director at the Centre for the Eurasian Sport Industry, comments on Saudi Arabia's "sports washing".
Experts are divided as to how much of a risk coronavirus poses to kids. Or whether they are even able to spread the virus. It's also unclear why children either have no symptoms or very mild ones. So far, studies have come to varying conclusions. Are kids safe from the virus? Or are they at risk?

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