The New York Times

The New York Times 5 Feb 2020

What the Iowa Results Say About the 2020 Race


After almost 24 hours of delay, results from the Iowa caucuses have trickled in. Here's what you need to know about the results and what they mean for New Hampshire.

Laura Rutledge, Paul Finebaum, Marcus Spears, Ryan Clark and Jay Williams join Mike Greenberg to talk about the prospects for the 2020 college football season being played, after the California State University school system determined it will primarily conduct virtual learning this fall. They talk about what it means for the Pac-12, the NCAA at large, and a possible spring season, then Rutledge reveals what college football players have been telling her about wanting to play this year.
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CNN's Bill Weir looks at the parallels between coronavirus and the climate crisis.

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Jay Williams joins Get Up and reacts to the possibility of the NBA season clustering in different cities and how that could impact players and their families during the coronavirus pandemic. Jay also weighs in on players like Brooklyn Nets PF Kevin Durant, Atlanta Hawks PG Trae Young and 14 others who will be participating in an NBA 2K20 players tournament.
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This has been an extraordinarily bizarre
Iowa caucus process, the kind that I
don’t think anybody who has participated
in presidential politics has ever seen before.
“You’ve probably heard we don’t know the results.”
“Very, very frustrating.”
“And when those results are announced —”
“Get them straight.”
This state has just been frozen in uncertainty.
Bernie Sanders and Pete Buttigieg
both seem to have had a pretty good night.
And not so much for Joe Biden.
“Let’s hear it for the Biden people.
You guys look good.”
But there was nobody there
sort of holding a trophy over their head
in the way the candidates go in expecting
to be able to do.
“Anybody with an S to Z last name?”
“L to R. L to R.”
“Anybody want a sign?”
So the winner of Iowa is supposed
to be able to go out on the night of the caucuses
and in national prime time give a soaring victory speech
that introduces themselves to a larger swath
of the country,
and claim a burst of energy and momentum that carries them
forward into the next round of primaries and caucuses.
“55, 56, 57, 58 —”
But the end result was so deeply unsatisfying
to virtually everybody involved.
“There is no name on it.”
“O.K., I need his name and his number.”
“And then this is actually Bernie Sanders’ card.
I don’t know why the card ended up Biden.”
Some of the issues included technical problems
with an app that was supposed to help caucus precinct leaders
report the results,
failure of a back-up system
that was supposed to step in if the app failed,
inconsistencies in the data that the app did produce,
and sort of a technical understanding gap with some
of the precinct leaders who tend to be on the older side.
After a significant delay, we have some results in Iowa.
“Welcome, Mayor Pete.”
Pete Buttigieg staked essentially
his entire campaign on Iowa.
He poured resources and time into this state.
And his polling numbers gradually
rose here, even as they stayed pretty modest nationally.
So he has needed a win here and a jolt of momentum
early in the process.
“The biggest risk we could take
is to try to recycle the same Washington playbook
and mindset and fights that got us to this point,
and expect a different result.”
He’s arguing that he’s a unifier
of both the progressive and moderate wings of the party.
“Let’s not choose between boldness and unity.”
For Pete Buttigieg, Iowa means that he’s
going to be a real player in this race.
And it means that he’ll stay in
through to Super Tuesday, which had been
a question in his campaign.
Bernie doing well in Iowa means
that he is in a really strong position
going into New Hampshire.
“Today marks the beginning of the end for Donald Trump.”
Bernie’s had the same message for about 50 years.
“Rich are getting richer.”
“The most unfair distribution of wealth —”
“Two percent of the population that owns one-third
of the entire wealth of America —”
The fact that Bernie has had the same positions
and talked about them the same way
is what appeals to a lot, a lot of people.
“And almost all new income and wealth
goes to the top 1 percent.”
Bernie doing well in Iowa may also
catapult him into the other early states.
I’m thinking Nevada and after that, California.
“Let us transform this country.
Thank you all very much.”
“Hello, Des Moines, Iowa.”
“Hello, Warren Democrats.”
Elizabeth Warren has not been able to overcome the squeeze
from the Bernie Sanders left
and the Buttigieg moderate wing.
“Are we ready to do New Hampshire?”
Elizabeth Warren finished probably
about where we thought she would.
This is a candidate who over the summer and the fall
looked like she could become the runaway favorite in Iowa.
That did not happen.
Elizabeth Warren’s argument has been about corruption.
“End lobbying as we know it.”
And, of course, plans and policy.
“And I got a plan for that.”
“Big structural change.”
We’re hearing a lot about unity.
“We have one job.
Number one job,
and that is beat Donald Trump.
Are you in on that?”
When we go outside of Iowa, her numbers
don’t look as great.
She’s not doing as great in South Carolina.
She’s not doing as great as her rivals in Nevada.
“But maybe that’s old-fashioned.
Hi, how are you?”
“So my grandmother has a huge crush on you.”
Joe Biden doing poorly in Iowa means renewed questions
about whether the candidate who has spent so much time
focused on this question of electability ...
“If I can unify the country — the character of the nation —”
... is, in fact, able to win.
“We need a president who can bring the country together.”
Biden made the argument that before any kind
of progressive change could be made,
first Democrats have to beat Trump,
and that he is the candidate who stands the best chance.
“They’re trying to smear me to try to stop me,
because they know if I’m the nominee,
I will beat Donald Trump.”
Iowa has presented a number of challenges for Joe Biden.
This question of enthusiasm.
That was the message from voters,
that they like Joe Biden,
they respected Joe Biden,
but this was not a candidate who excited them.
For Iowa Democrats, this has been nothing short
of a humiliation.
There is no question that Iowa’s status
as the first-in-the-nation caucus state
is in mortal jeopardy.
If you talk to any senior Democrat in the country
right now, they will tell you, never again.
Never again certainly to a caucus in Iowa.
And maybe never again to Iowa starting
a presidential process, period.
How do I feel?
On to New Hampshire!

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