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Fox News 31 Dec 2019

Rove: When and where 2020 candidates spend their money will have a huge impact

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Fox News contributor Karl Rove breaks down the importance of fund raising as the Democratic primary closes in. #FoxNews

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With four weeks to go until the Iowa caucuses, Democratic candidates are in the state campaigning for the first nominating contest of the 2020 election. Stephen Gruber-Miller, who covers the statehouse and politics for the Des Moines Register, spoke to CBSN's "Red & Blue" about what the candidates are doing to win support on February 3rd.
2020 candidates on the campaign trail in Iowa and New Hampshire addressed the news that the U.S. had killed Iranian general Qassem Soleimani in an airstrike and what the consequences could be.
The 2020 Democrats in their final sprint ahead of the New Hampshire primary as new polls find Sanders and Buttigieg on top
"Pod Save America" co-host Jon Favreau went across the country looking for answers through a series of focus groups with voters to find out what Americans want from 2020 candidates. Favreau joined CBSN to discuss what he discovered.

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BIGGER FORTUNE THAN HE DOES.
>> Sandra: THANK YOU.
>> Eric: SENATOR WARREN HAS
BEEN FALLING BEHIND IN THE MONEY
RACE COMING IN FOURTH IN THE
FOURTH QUARTER FUND-RAISING
BATTLE WITH
SENATOR BERNIE SANDERS LEADING
AS YOU CAN SEE, FORMER
VICE PRESIDENT JOE BIDEN
REBOUNDING AFTER THE THIRD
QUARTER, SO WHEN DOES THE
CAMPAIGN FUND-RAISING RACE TELL
US ABOUT?
FORMER WHITE HOUSE DEPUTY CHIEF
OF STAFF TO GEORGE W. BUSH.
LOTS OF ENERGY AND ENTHUSIASM IN
THAT RALLY IN WHICH SHE WAS
SPEEDING BUT SHE HAS FALLEN
SHORT, IS THAT THE SHADOW OF A
CONTROVERSIAL MEDICARE FOR ALL
PROPOSAL AND OTHER ISSUES OR IS
IT SOMETHING DEEPER?
>> FUND-RAISING TENDS TO EBB AND
FLOW.
THE SUPPORT FROM MEDICARE FOR
ALL, BUT WHAT I'VE BEEN REALLY
GOING TO BE INTERESTED IN IS NOT
SIMPLY THE FUND-RAISING NUMBERS
BUT THE CASH ON HAND.
OF HOW MUCH MONEY DO THEY HOLD
ONTO?
MY SENTENCES THEY ARE LIKELY TO
FIND AT LEAST FOUR CANDIDATES
WHO HAVE RAISED ENOUGH MONEY TO
BE COMPETITIVE IN THE FIRST FOUR
PRIMARIES AND IOWA,
NEW HAMPSHIRE, AND
SOUTH CAROLINA AND BEYOND ON
MARCH 3RD AT ELIZABETH WARREN IS
LIKELY TO BE ONE, BIDEN WILL BE
ONE, BUDDHA JUDGE WILL BE ONE
AND OF COURSE COMPETING IN THOSE
FIRST PRIMARIES AND MIKE
BLOOMBERG WHO IS COMPETING ON
MARCH 3RD.
WE WILL HAVE SIX PEOPLE WITH
ENOUGH MONEY TO BE COMPETITIVE
THROUGH THE 3RD OF MARCH BY
WHICH POINT THE DELEGATES WILL
HAVE BEEN SELECTED.
THEY ARE FRONT LOADING THEIR
DELEGATES THE DEMOCRATS ARE.
GETTING ENOUGH MONEY TO BE
COMPETITIVE, THAT'S IMPORTANT.
>> Eric: SHOW IT MORE TOWARDS
US.
CASH ON HAND, IN TERMS OF
RUNNING A PRESIDENTIAL CAMPAIGN,
HOW IMPORTANT IS THAT AND HOW
IMPORTANT IS THE BURN RATE WHEN
YOU'VE GOT TO GET THAT MASSIVE
ORGANIZATION GOING.
>> THE BURN RATE IS IMPORTANT
BECAUSE IF YOU SPEND IT EARLY
LIKE KAMALA HARRIS RAN A
CAMPAIGN WHERE SHE SPENT A LOT
OF MONEY EARLY ON THINGS THAT
WERE NOT IMPORTANT, SO SHE RAN
OUT OF -- ESSENTIALLY RUNNING
OUT OF MONEY.
ON THE OTHER HAND,
ELIZABETH WARREN GOT A GOOD
START BY TRANSFERRING
$10.4 MILLION FROM HER SENATE
CAMPAIGN AND SHE HAS BEEN VERY
STINGY ON HER SPENDING.
AS HAVE BEEN SOME OF THE OTHER
CANDIDATES BUT THAT'S WHAT I
WANT TO SEE THE FINAL END OF THE
YEAR CASH ON HAND BECAUSE WE ARE
NOW GETTING TO THE POINT WHERE
WHEN YOU SPEND THE MONEY, IT'S
GOING TO HAVE MORE OF AN IMPACT.
HE RUN AN AD IN MARCH OR APRIL
OR JUNE OR JULY OF 2019, IT'S
GOT A LITTLE BIT OF AN IMPACT IN
BUILDING YOUR NAME I.D. BUT MAIL
AND CABLE BETWEEN NOW AND THE
3RD OF FEBRUARY, IT'S GOING TO
BE REALLY IMPORTANT AND IOWA AND
DURING THE MONTH OF FEBRUARY
IMPORTANT IN THOSE EARLY STATES
AND THEN ON MARCH 3RD, SUPER
TUESDAY, GOING TO BE REALLY
IMPORTANT AND MY SECOND THING
THAT I'M WATCHING BESIDES THE
CASH ON HAND IS A NUMBER OF
DELEGATES BECAUSE REMEMBER, THE
DEMOCRATS SAY IF YOU GET 15% OF
THE VOTING IN THE DISTRICT, YOU
GET DELEGATES.
WE'VE GOT RIGHT NOW THREE IF NOT
FOR CANDIDATES AND IOWA WHO ARE
PULLING ABOVE 15%, WE'VE GOT TO
A NEW HAMPSHIRE POLLING ABOVE
15% AND TWO BOWLING RIGHT
UNDERNEATH.
WE MAY SEE THESE DELEGATES
CHALKED UP IN THE EARLY STAGES
OVER THE BOARD AND IF WE COULD
TO SUPER TUESDAY WHEN MIKE
BLOOMBERG START SPENDING MONEY
SO THAT WE HAVE THREE OR FOUR OR
MAYBE EVEN FIVE CANDIDATES WHO
CAN COMPETE OR 15% AT LEAST AND
SLICES OF THOSE STATES, WE COULD
HAVE THE DEMOCRATIC FIELD ALL
CARVED UP BECAUSE THEY ARE
FRONTLOADING IT, IT MAY BE
VIRTUALLY IMPOSSIBLE FOR ANYONE
TO GET 15% OF THE DELEGATES BY
THE TIME THEY GET TO MILWAUKEE.
HALF A BILLION DOLLARS.
>> Eric: BUT HE'S AIMING
TOWARDS THIS, SO THEY ARE
CHOPPING UP THE VOTES LIKE
SUSHI.
COMING OUT OF IOWA THAT COULD BE
PETE BUTTIGIEG, LET'S SAY OUT OF
NEW HAMPSHIRE COULD BE
SENATOR WARREN OR
SENATOR SANDERS AND BIDEN GET
SOUTH CAROLINA, WE WILL SEE HOW
THAT GOES.
BLOOMBERG IS NOW ON INTERNET, ON
TELEVISION, FIELD ORGANIZATIONS,
FOCUSING ON THE GENERAL ELECTION
FOR THE SUPER TUESDAY STATES.
>> I THINK HE'S GOING TO BE A
PLAYER BUT I DON'T THINK HE IS
GOING TO BE THE DOMINANT FIGURE
BECAUSE THERE'S GOING TO BE SOME
MOMENTUM BEHIND THE PEOPLE WHO
WERE SCORING IN THOSE EARLY
CONTESTS AND THAT'S GOING TO
OFFSET SOME OF THE SPENDING BUT
I DO THINK IT'S GOING TO BE A
FACTOR.
FOR A DOMINANT FACTOR ON THE 3RD
FOR A DOMINANT FACTOR ON THE 3RA
FOR A DOMINANT FACTOR ON THE 3RC
FOR A DOMINANT FACTOR ON THE 3RH
FOR A DOMINANT FACTOR ON THE 3RB
FOR A DOMINANT FACTOR ON THE 3RT
FOR A DOMINANT FACTOR ON THE 3RI
FOR A DOMINANT FACTOR ON THE 3RK
FOR A DOMINANT FACTOR ON THE 3RA
FOR A DOMINANT FACTOR ON THE 3RO
FOR A DOMINANT FACTOR ON THE 3RT
FOR A DOMINANT FACTOR ON THE 3RI
FOR A DOMINANT FACTOR ON THE 3R,
48% WOULD HAVE BEEN SELECTED IN
LESS THAN FIVE WEEKS, SO WHAT IF
THEY GET SPLIT UP AMONG 4 OF 5
CANDIDATES, BLOOMBERG GET SOME,
MAYBE GETS A FEW HERE, MAYBE
AMY KLOBUCHAR GETS A FEW HERE,
MINNESOTA IS GOING TO VOTE
EARLY, SHE'S GOING TO DO WELL
THERE.
THE MORE YOU CHALK UP THAT 48%,
THE MORE DIFFICULT IT GETS TO BE
TO HAVE 50% ON THE FIRST BALLOT
I'M A MEMBER, BY THE END
OF MARCH, 69%, NEARLY SEVEN OUT
OF EVERY TEN DELEGATES AT THE
DEMOCRATIC NATIONAL CONVENTION
WILL BE CHOSEN BY THE END
OF MARCH BECAUSE THEY HAVE
ENOUGH MONEY TO BE COMPETITIVE
AND SOME OF THOSE STATES WILL BE
PLAYING RIGHT THROUGH THE END
OF MARCH AND WE ARE LIKELY TO
SEE THIS THING CHOPPED UP ALL
ACROSS THE BOARD.
>> Eric: AND WHEN YOU ARE
CHOPPED UP ALL ACROSS THE BOARD,
HOW DO THEY PUT IT TOGETHER?
>> I'VE GOT A CALL THEM COMING
THIS WEEK IN
"THE WALL STREET JOURNAL" MY
PREDICTIONS FOR 2020 AND I
PREDICT NOBODY ARRIVES IN
MILWAUKEE WITH A MAJORITY OF THE
DELEGATES.
WHAT THEY CALL THE PLEDGE
DELEGATES.
THEY COULD WIN ON A FIRST BALLOT
BUT ONLY IF THERE'S A
PRELIMINARY BALLOT THAT GIVES
THE SENSE THAT SOMEBODY IS WAY
AHEAD AND PEOPLE STAND UP AND
SAVED OHIO CHANGES OR COLORADO
CHANGES FROM X TO Y.
FOR SECOND BALLOT.
REMEMBER IF THEY GO TO A SECOND
BALLOT, THERE ARE 765
SUPERDELEGATES WHO WERE NOT
ALLOWED TO VOTE ON THE FIRST
BALLOT, WHO ARE UNELECTED, BEEN
APPOINTED A LONG TIME AGO,
DONNA BRAZILE IS A SUPERDELEGATE
AND HAS BEEN ONE SINCE 2001, FOR
EXAMPLE.
THOSE PEOPLE GET TO VOTE ON THE
SECOND BALLOT.
NOT THE PRESENT ON THE FIRST
BALLOT, IT COULD BE COMPLICATED
PICTURE.
>> Eric: THE DEMOCRATIC POWER
BROKERS ARE TRYING TO WIN THE
GAME AGAIN.
>> ABSOLUTELY.
WON'T BE AS BAD IN CHICAGO 1968,
BUT IT COULD BE UGLY.
ANYONE WHO HAS BEEN IN THE 2016
DEMOCRATIC CONVENTION AND SAW
THE BERNIE SANDERS SUPPORTERS,
HOW THEY REACTED TO ANY
TRADITIONAL, THAT COULD BE AN
UNPLEASANT PLACE ALL THE WAY TO
THE END.
>> Eric: THEY ARE STILL OUT
THERE.
CARL WROTE DOWN, HAVE A GREAT
HAPPY NEW YEAR, GOING TO BE SOME
HERE.
>> I'VE GOT A FOUR LEAF CLOVER

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